Butterfield Bermuda Championship 2026 — Round 4
showdown projections · ceiling · gpp scores · projected ownership
UPDATED 2026-10-24 7:31 PM ET
PREVIEW · 8 OF 72
| PLAYER | SCORE | SALARY | P(7+) | XSG | SDOWN | PROJ | CEILING | GPP SCORE | CPS | RSD | XDD | XDA | XAPP | XATG | XPUTT | TEE TIME |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Smotherman | -16 | 9700 | 4.8% | 0.91 | 36.7% | 41.6 | 62.4 | 18.0 | +0.53 | 2.66 | 0.10 | 0.29 | 0.27 | -0.12 | -0.12 | 9:46 AM |
| Seamus Power | -16 | 9800 | 2.8% | 0.49 | 36.5% | 37.4 | 58.2 | 8.1 | -0.32 | 2.66 | 0.05 | 0.17 | -0.00 | 0.10 | 0.24 | 9:46 AM |
| Corey Conners | -14 | 10400 | 3.1% | 0.81 | 32.0% | 37.4 | 58.4 | 2.7 | -0.22 | 2.58 | 0.07 | 0.30 | 0.36 | -0.05 | -0.05 | 9:35 AM |
| Eric Cole | -9 | 10300 | 3.9% | 0.72 | 11.0% | 32.8 | 54.7 | -5.1 | -0.27 | 2.75 | -0.02 | -0.26 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 7:56 AM |
| Trace Crowe | -8 | 9000 | 3.5% | 0.49 | 8.6% | 30.9 | 51.1 | -3.3 | +0.17 | 2.71 | 0.13 | 0.03 | 0.17 | -0.04 | 0.01 | 7:45 AM |
| David Skinns | -11 | 7400 | 2.0% | -0.34 | 6.0% | 29.3 | 51.0 | 0.1 | -0.19 | 2.75 | -0.14 | -0.03 | 0.07 | 0.05 | -0.05 | 9:02 AM |
| Ren Yonezawa | -7 | 7300 | 1.6% | -0.13 | 1.4% | 27.5 | 46.9 | 0.7 | +0.00 | 2.63 | -0.06 | -0.04 | -0.23 | -0.07 | -0.36 | 8:29 AM |
| Rafael Campos | -7 | 6500 | 1.0% | -0.75 | 1.3% | 24.6 | 44.1 | 0.3 | +0.32 | 2.83 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -0.20 | -0.21 | -0.18 | 8:07 AM |
8 of 72 players shown — subscribers see the full chart · click a column to sort · hover a header for its definition
COLUMN KEY
- SCORE
- Score vs par entering the round.
- SALARY
- DraftKings salary.
- P(7+)
- The probability that the player makes 7+ birdies. Derived from the round simulation.
- XSG
- Expected strokes gained that powers the sim — the center of the player's distribution BEFORE the course-fit transformation.
- SDOWN
- Projected ownership for this round's Showdown slate.
- PROJ
- Average DK points in the simulation.
- CEILING
- 95th-percentile DK point outcome in the sim.
- GPP SCORE
- GPP Scores take everything into account - price, ownership, ceiling, P(success), and P(failure) to determine a player's efficient ownership. positive GPP Scores mean the player is under-owned, negative GPP Scores mean the player is over-owned. It's ok to use a negative GPP Score as long as he's surrounded by separators (good GPP Scores) and/or if the roster construction data supports his type of chalk
- CPS
- Predictive measure of performance while in contention.
- RSD
- Predictive round-to-round standard deviation.
- XDD
- Estimated strokes gained: driving distance.
- XDA
- Estimated strokes gained: driving accuracy.
- XAPP
- Estimated strokes gained: approach.
- XATG
- Estimated strokes gained: around the green.
- XPUTT
- Estimated strokes gained: putting.
- TEE TIME
- Tee time (local course time).
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