Butterfield Bermuda Championship

projections · ceiling · gpp scores · projected ownership

UPDATED 2026-10-21 7:11 PM ET

PREVIEW · 8 OF 120

PLAYER	SALARY DraftKings salary.	PROJ Average DK points in the simulation.	CEILING 95th-percentile DK point outcome in the sim.	TEE TIME Tee time (local course time).	GPP SCORE GPP Scores take everything into account - price, ownership, ceiling, P(success), and P(failure) to determine a player's efficient ownership. positive GPP Scores mean the player is under-owned, negative GPP Scores mean the player is over-owned. It's ok to use a negative GPP Score as long as he's surrounded by separators (good GPP Scores) and/or if the roster construction data supports his type of chalk	POWN HS Projected ownership in high-stakes contests (the highest-dollar featured tournament).	POWN MME Projected ownership in large-field mass multi-entry contests.	POWN SE Projected ownership in single-entry contests.	XSG Expected strokes gained that powers the sim — the center of the player's distribution BEFORE the course-fit transformation.	ESD Predictive event-to-event standard deviation — how volatile the player's whole-tournament outcomes are.	RSD Predictive round-to-round standard deviation.	BROE Birdie rate over expectation, where the expected birdie rate is set by skill level. Hover a cell for the observed vs expected birdie rates behind it.	CPS Predictive measure of performance while in contention.	DD Estimated strokes gained: driving distance.	DA Estimated strokes gained: driving accuracy.	APP Estimated strokes gained: approach.	ATG Estimated strokes gained: around the green.	PUTT Estimated strokes gained: putting.	WIN% Simulated probability the player wins the tournament.	TOP 5% Simulated probability of a top-5 finish (ties counted as the better position).	TOP 10% Simulated probability of a top-10 finish.	TOP 20% Simulated probability of a top-20 finish.	TOP 40% Simulated probability of a top-40 finish.	CUT% Simulated probability the player makes the cut.
Ben James	10900	75.8	122.7	1:11 PM	-0.9	33.0%	29.1%	33.8%	1.58	0.66	2.71	+0.7%	-0.28	0.08	0.31	0.31	0.06	0.12	4.8%	19.4%	31.6%	48.9%	70.6%	83.3%
Eric Cole	9900	69.8	116.9	7:46 AM	3.5	11.1%	14.1%	10.5%	1.23	0.66	2.75	+1.1%	-0.27	-0.08	-0.20	0.20	0.18	0.28	3.0%	13.6%	23.5%	39.0%	60.9%	77.3%
Corey Conners	9800	72.1	116.8	12:27 PM	2.9	15.0%	16.7%	15.2%	1.34	0.66	2.58	+0.8%	-0.22	0.04	0.22	0.42	-0.03	-0.02	2.9%	14.3%	25.3%	42.5%	65.8%	81.1%
Trace Crowe	8600	66.9	113.0	1:33 PM	1.9	12.2%	12.7%	12.4%	0.97	0.66	2.71	+1.5%	0.17	0.12	0.04	0.23	-0.02	0.04	2.0%	10.3%	18.7%	33.3%	55.9%	74.8%
Chad Ramey	7300	59.6	104.0	12:16 PM	0.9	3.6%	3.9%	3.4%	0.56	0.66	2.72	+0.6%	0.00	0.01	0.00	-0.04	0.08	0.23	1.1%	6.2%	12.2%	24.1%	45.3%	67.9%
Harry Higgs	6900	50.8	94.3	7:35 AM	0.0	1.0%	1.3%	1.1%	0.05	0.66	2.89	-0.7%	-0.12	0.12	-0.02	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.5%	3.4%	7.3%	15.7%	33.2%	58.1%
Troy Merritt	6500	45.4	88.3	8:19 AM	-0.0	0.7%	1.3%	1.2%	-0.44	0.66	2.76	+0.6%	-0.03	-0.20	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	0.08	0.2%	1.6%	3.7%	8.8%	22.1%	47.9%
Aaron Baddeley	6100	32.2	71.2	7:46 AM	-0.1	0.4%	0.9%	0.8%	-1.50	0.66	2.64	-1.1%	-0.01	0.03	-0.27	-0.15	-0.01	0.08	0.0%	0.1%	0.4%	1.6%	6.6%	27.9%

8 of 120 players shown — subscribers see the full chart · click a column to sort · hover a header for its definition

COLUMN KEY

SALARY: DraftKings salary.
PROJ: Average DK points in the simulation.
CEILING: 95th-percentile DK point outcome in the sim.
TEE TIME: Tee time (local course time).
GPP SCORE: GPP Scores take everything into account - price, ownership, ceiling, P(success), and P(failure) to determine a player's efficient ownership. positive GPP Scores mean the player is under-owned, negative GPP Scores mean the player is over-owned. It's ok to use a negative GPP Score as long as he's surrounded by separators (good GPP Scores) and/or if the roster construction data supports his type of chalk
POWN HS: Projected ownership in high-stakes contests (the highest-dollar featured tournament).
POWN MME: Projected ownership in large-field mass multi-entry contests.
POWN SE: Projected ownership in single-entry contests.
XSG: Expected strokes gained that powers the sim — the center of the player's distribution BEFORE the course-fit transformation.
ESD: Predictive event-to-event standard deviation — how volatile the player's whole-tournament outcomes are.
RSD: Predictive round-to-round standard deviation.
BROE: Birdie rate over expectation, where the expected birdie rate is set by skill level. Hover a cell for the observed vs expected birdie rates behind it.
CPS: Predictive measure of performance while in contention.
DD: Estimated strokes gained: driving distance.
DA: Estimated strokes gained: driving accuracy.
APP: Estimated strokes gained: approach.
ATG: Estimated strokes gained: around the green.
PUTT: Estimated strokes gained: putting.
WIN%: Simulated probability the player wins the tournament.
TOP 5%: Simulated probability of a top-5 finish (ties counted as the better position).
TOP 10%: Simulated probability of a top-10 finish.
TOP 20%: Simulated probability of a top-20 finish.
TOP 40%: Simulated probability of a top-40 finish.
CUT%: Simulated probability the player makes the cut.

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